GOLD 00.00 1.20 0.00%
SILVER 00.00 1.20 0.00%

Metal Market Report September 2025 - Week 2 Edition

September 2025 - Week 2 Edition

Wall Street is Finally Getting on the Gold Bandwagon

Last week, Goldman Sachs, the major Wall Street financial institution, forecasted that the gold price could rise just as fast in the next 12 months as in the previous 12 months. The firm predicted prices of $4,500 and beyond in 2026, perhaps reaching $5,000 if “certain conditions” are met.

Those “certain conditions” have to do with rising private demand and President Donald Trump’s increasing assault on U.S. Federal Reserve policy. To reach $4,500, Goldman said there would need to be “a major shift by private investors out of U.S. dollar assets into gold.” They said gold could reach $5,000 if only 1% of the private money invested in the U.S. Treasury market was reallocated to gold.

Goldman also predicted that gold could increase dramatically if the Trump administration's attack on the independence of the U.S. Federal Reserve proved successful. That would trigger what they called “a flight from traditional safe havens” (the U.S. dollar or Treasury bonds) to gold.

In that context, Goldman said, “If 1% of the privately owned U.S. Treasury market were to flow into gold, the gold price would rise to nearly $5,000 per troy ounce.” That’s 40% above the $3,473 level of September 1, 2025, matching gold’s 40% gains since September 1, 2024.

Wouldn’t it have been nice if Goldman Sachs had predicted those price gains back in 2024? Then, their customers could have joined the Gold Bandwagon at $2,000 – before an 80% rise! As usual, Wall Street investment firms are late to the party as I have been writing about gold’s ongoing bull market since 2023.

Steve Forbes and I Were Far More Bullish Than Goldman - Back When the “Old” Goldman Team Was More Cautious

At the IMEX Money Show in Nashville (October 26-28, 2023), I met with former Republican Presidential candidate Steve Forbes for almost 30 minutes. During our meeting, we covered nearly 250 years of the history of gold and inflation, from the time General George Washington (once played by Mr. Forbes at a Freedom Fest event) said that a wagonload of paper “Continentals” was not even worth enough to buy a wagonload of provisions for his troops.

Gold was still trading below $2,000 (at $1,988) but it had risen rapidly in the three weeks since Hamas had invaded Israel. On October 6, 2023, the day before that tragic massacre, gold bottomed out under $1,810 but Steve and I predicted gold was about to make an incredible run, as most mainstream Wall Street firms were far more cautious.

On February 22, 2024, when gold was still trading around $2,020, Goldman Sachs predicted only a 6% rise in gold over the next 12 months. Steve Forbes and I were confident that $2,500 an ounce was in reach. As it turns out, we were a bit “too cautious” too, since gold closed the year 2024 at $2,629 per ounce, up 28%.

Gold was 44% higher (not just 6%) in those 12 months after our price prediction, trading at $2,948 on February 22, 2025. (To see Goldman’s 2024 gold prediction, click: Gold prices are forecast to rise 6% in the next 12 months | Goldman Sachs.)

In 2025, the key to gold’s superior performance has been the decline of the dollar and a new surge of U.S. gold ETF buying. During gold’s significant increases from 2022 to 2024, U.S. investors shunned gold ETFs but in 2025, America’s new entry into the gold ETF market, on top of a weak dollar and a four-year streak of major central bank gold buying, pushed gold higher.

Back in February 2024, Goldman Sachs cited a “lack of ETF purchases” … because gold ETF holdings were “already high, particularly compared with the level of real (inflation-adjusted) interest rates.”

If only Goldman had predicted their current view, that gold would become the new preferred hedge against the dollar and U.S. Treasury bonds, and their customers could have doubled their money from the October 6, 2023, lows of $1,810 per ounce to today’s gold prices of over $3,600.

Going back even further, gold has more than tripled the two major stock market indexes since 2000 and gold has kept rising recently, tripling the market indexes since early 2022 as well. 

When will the major Wall Street financial giants start to promote gold early, at lower prices?

Our Precious Metals Guide has been awarded as the best dealer publication seven times by the industry’s Numismatic Literary Guild. I encourage you to call our professional account representatives to get your free copy of this valuable and comprehensive guide to buying, selling and protecting your precious metals.

Gold Keeps Soaring as investors are in an “accumulation” mode, not selling on any temporary price dips. In the first six trading days of September, gold is up 6%, at one point piercing $3,700 per ounce on the futures market. Silver is up more slowly (+2.8%) in the same time frame and platinum is up 0.4%, as the industrial precious metals are slowing down from their torrid gains through August. The current precious metals boom focuses on gold – likely due to the lower interest rates expected soon.

 

Metals Market Report Archives

Important Disclosure Notification: All statements, opinions, pricing, and ideas herein are believed to be reliable, truthful and accurate to the best of the Publisher's knowledge at this time. They are not guaranteed in any way by anybody and are subject to change over time. The Publisher disclaims and is not liable for any claims or losses which may be incurred by third parties while relying on information published herein. Individuals should not look at this publication as giving finance or investment advice or information for their individual suitability. All readers are advised to independently verify all representations made herein or by its representatives for your individual suitability before making your investment or collecting decisions. Arbitration: This company strives to handle customer complaint issues directly with customer in an expeditious manner. In the event an amicable resolution cannot be reached, you agree to accept binding arbitration. Any dispute, controversy, claim or disagreement arising out of or relating to transactions between you and this company shall be resolved by binding arbitration pursuant to the Federal Arbitration Act and conducted in Beaumont, Jefferson County, Texas. It is understood that the parties waive any right to a jury trial. Judgment upon the award rendered by the Arbitrator may be entered in any court having jurisdiction thereof. Reproduction or quotation of this newsletter is prohibited without written permission of the Publisher.